You don’t know which decisions are good and which are bad. You have a semblance of predictive ability, but most factors are obfuscated. And what’s worse: you have an exaggerated sense of the rightness of your decisions, because society feeds us success stories breakfast, lunch and dinner. We know the story of the rockstar, the sports icon, the young politician, the upwardly mobile businessperson—it rarely occurs to us that the 40-something year old man taking our order at pizza hut might have had aspirations too.